Robert Mercer, 71, is a computer scientist and hedge fund billionaire, who used his fortune to become one of the most influential men in US politics as a top Republican donor. By August 2017 his relationship with Trump had soured and he was out. That earned Bannon the post of chief strategist to the president and for a while he was arguably the second most powerful man in America. Bannon encouraged the reality TV star to embrace the “populist, economic nationalist” agenda that would carry him into the White House. In August 2016 he became Donald Trump’s campaign CEO. He changed his name to Spectre when he married, but later reverted to Kogan.Ī former investment banker turned “alt-right” media svengali, Steve Bannon was boss at website Breitbart when he met Christopher Wylie and Nix and advised Robert Mercer to invest in political data research by setting up CA. While at Cambridge he accepted a position at St Petersburg State University, and also took Russian government grants for research. He set up Global Science Research (GSR) to carry out CA’s data research. He studied at the University of California, Berkeley, and got his PhD at the University of Hong Kong before joining Cambridge as a lecturer in psychology and expert in social media psychometrics. He set up Cambridge Analytica to work in America, with investment from Robert Mercer.Īleksandr Kogan was born in Moldova and lived in Moscow until the age of seven, then moved with his family to the US, where he became a naturalised citizen. From 2007 he took over the company’s elections division, and claims to have worked on 260 campaigns globally. Don’t look at the needle - just ignore her! She loves attention.An Old Etonian with a degree from Manchester University, Nix, 42, worked as a financial analyst in Mexico and the UK before joining SCL, a strategic communications firm, in 2003. Regardless of the success of the needle’s behavioral reforms, I can think of numerous less stressful things a voter could do to pass the time while waiting for results (which, again, will likely take a while). These states are also possible bellwethers for the national result, sort of - if they are won by Joe Biden, he has likely won the entire election if Trump wins them, both candidates have a “realistic path,” according to the Times. That’s because those states break down their votes by voter method, enabling them to report quickly and efficiently. Though there’s no national needle, we will have three smaller-scale ones tracking results from Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina. It follows that this cruel mistress should not be used to chart the results of an already heated election, during a pandemic, in which the labyrinthine election laws of multiple states means that some counts will likely not be completed for days. “The huge changes in voting by method + the limits of available data just make too risky to do responsibly.”Ĭohn seems to be responding to feedback that the dreaded needle made the incredibly stressful experience of watching the 2016 election even worse. “There will be no national needle,” he wrote. Polling guru Nate Cohn tweeted out the news on Monday evening with a caveat: The needle, which so traumatically tracked overwhelming odds in Hillary Clinton’s favor at the beginning of November 8, 2016, before switching sharply to Donald Trump, is back with a slight tweak. Yes, the New York Times election-forecast needle has returned. Did you just hear a sudden piercing scream? A horrifying gleeful cackle somewhere in the distance as the sun began to set (the sun sets at like 4 p.m.
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